Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Cal State Fullerton

59.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -149

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Davis

49.4MMH Power Index48.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

1.7Net Efficiency3.5

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.9

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

76.3Tempo72.4

52.6%Effective FG%52.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.5%

1.3Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.9), recent form (2.7–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.5–1.7), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

53—63

UC Davis

UC Davis by 10 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Davis

13-46FG19-53

28.0%FG%36.0%

1-203PT5-23

5.0%3PT%22.0%

26-30FT20-24

87.0%FT%83.0%

40Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds8

2Assists9

21Turnovers15

10Steals10

2Blocks4

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Richardson	Guard	21	3-5	1-3	6-7	6	0	0	0	13
Donovan Oday	G	22	4-12	0-4	4-5	8	0	2	0	12
Kobe Young	Guard	35	3-7	0-2	3-3	11	0	1	0	9
Antwan Robinson	Guard	28	3-10	0-6	1-2	2	0	3	0	7
Kaleb Brown	G	27	0-5	0-4	7-8	3	0	1	0	7
John Mikey Square	Not Available	14	0-0	0-0	5-5	4	0	1	1	5
Kendrick De Luna	F	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Keith Richard	Guard	16	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Zachary Visentin	Center	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Sevilla	G	32	6-13	4-10	2-2	5	1	0	0	18
TY Johnson	Guard	36	5-17	0-3	5-7	2	2	3	0	15
Pablo Tamba	F	33	5-9	0-1	4-5	11	1	1	0	14
Nils Cooper	G	18	1-3	0-1	4-4	1	0	1	0	6
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	27	1-6	0-4	2-2	3	3	3	0	4
Niko Rocak	F	28	0-2	0-1	3-4	7	2	1	4	3
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Chappell	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

74.8Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency74.8

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

29.3%Effective FG%40.6%

44.0%True Shooting %48.9%

29.9%Turnover Rate21.0%

65.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

43.5%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.10Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.