Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Idaho

34.8%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -187

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 81

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreSacramento State 77

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricSacramento State

53.2MMH Power Index43

111.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.3Defensive Efficiency112.0

7.3Net Efficiency-5.9

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.9

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

69.7Tempo73.2

52.8%Effective FG%48.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.2%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

34.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

5.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Idaho

80—67

Sacramento State

Idaho by 13 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATSacramento State

28-57FG18-43

49.0%FG%42.0%

13-343PT8-19

38.0%3PT%42.0%

11-13FT23-32

85.0%FT%72.0%

28Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists14

8Turnovers14

10Steals5

3Blocks1

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Payne	G	36	7-13	4-9	5-5	5	2	2	1	23
Kristian Gonzalez	G	20	5-7	3-4	2-2	1	2	0	0	15
Tyler Linhardt	F	24	5-12	3-9	0-0	4	1	1	0	13
Tyler Mrus	F	36	4-9	3-7	0-0	5	0	2	0	11
Isaiah Brickner	G	18	3-3	0-0	2-2	1	2	2	1	8
Takai Hardy	Forward	11	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	5
Kolton Mitchell	G	22	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	5	2	0	2
Miles Klapper	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ewan Steele	F	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jojo Anderson	G	23	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	34	8-14	2-2	17-21	10	1	2	0	35
Julian Vaughns	Guard	26	4-7	3-5	2-2	2	4	0	0	13
Bailey Nunn	G	40	1-7	1-5	2-5	7	7	0	0	5
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
EJ Neal Jr.	G	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Emil Skytta	G	40	1-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Bowyn Beatty	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Chudi Dioramma	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

129.7Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency129.7

21.1Net Efficiency-21.1

60.5%Effective FG%51.2%

63.3%True Shooting %57.6%

12.9%Turnover Rate22.9%

22.8%Free Throw Rate74.4%

59.6%3-Point Rate44.2%

1.88Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Idaho won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.