Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Cal Poly

78.2%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -359

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 75

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 85

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC San Diego

46.5MMH Power Index53.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

-3.8Net Efficiency7.7

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.3

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

76.6Tempo69.8

52.2%Effective FG%53.1%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-2.9Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–111.0), net efficiency (7.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.3), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.9), free throw rate (35.8–33.2).

Final

Cal Poly

68—95

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 27 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC San Diego

23-56FG32-58

41.0%FG%55.0%

16-413PT8-24

39.0%3PT%33.0%

6-8FT23-25

75.0%FT%92.0%

23Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists16

15Turnovers11

4Steals11

—Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	31	7-10	6-9	0-0	6	2	0	20
Guzman Vasilic	G	27	4-6	3-5	4-4	1	3	0	15
Peter Bandelj	G	21	4-6	2-3	2-2	2	2	0	12
Jarred Hyder	Guard	34	4-14	3-11	0-0	2	7	0	11
Isaac Jessup	Guard	32	1-7	1-7	0-0	0	0	1	3
Isaac Spears	Guard	3	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	3
Mac Riniker	Guard	12	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	1	1	2
Ethan Menzies	Forward	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Luka Tarlac	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0
Cayden Ward	G	9	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	30	6-9	0-0	13-14	3	4	2	0	25
Hayden Gray	Guard	30	8-12	2-5	3-3	4	4	6	0	21
Nordin Kapic	F	24	5-7	2-3	4-4	8	2	0	2	16
Tyler McGhie	Guard	33	4-13	3-11	0-0	4	2	1	1	11
Chris Howell	G	19	2-3	0-0	3-4	0	1	1	0	7
Maximo Milovich	Forward	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	3	0	0	6
Cade Pendleton	F	2	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Aidan Burke	G	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Justin Rochelin	G	21	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ryder Elisaldez	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jasen Brooks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

98.7Offensive Efficiency137.9

137.9Defensive Efficiency98.7

-39.2Net Efficiency39.2

55.4%Effective FG%62.1%

56.9%True Shooting %68.0%

22.1%Turnover Rate15.7%

14.3%Free Throw Rate43.1%

73.2%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.