Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.6%Cal State Bakersfield

93.4%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -18.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -1415

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 68

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Santa Barbara

32.2MMH Power Index51.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

-12.4Net Efficiency7.1

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

73.0Tempo68.5

46.4%Effective FG%54.8%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

66—78

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 12 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

18-46FG26-52

39.0%FG%50.0%

10-173PT11-24

59.0%3PT%46.0%

20-25FT15-20

80.0%FT%75.0%

27Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists20

14Turnovers13

7Steals9

2Blocks1

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	34	5-10	3-3	12-13	1	3	2	0	25
Marvin McGhee IV	G	23	4-8	3-5	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
Marvin McGhee III	G	35	2-8	2-7	3-3	4	3	0	0	9
Jemel Jones	G	9	3-5	1-1	1-1	0	0	1	0	8
Corey Stephenson	G	13	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Jaden Alexander	G	13	0-3	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Kadar Waller	G	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	3
Shakir Odunewu	C	22	1-1	0-0	0-3	4	0	0	0	2
Tom Mark	F	26	0-1	0-0	0-1	2	1	2	1	0
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Gloire Goma	Forward	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Clark	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Fontenet II	G	32	6-9	3-6	2-3	5	4	1	0	17
Kenny Pohto	Forward	29	5-8	0-0	6-9	9	3	1	0	16
Cole Anderson	Guard	27	4-5	4-4	2-2	2	2	0	0	14
Max Murrell	Forward	22	4-8	3-7	0-0	4	3	1	0	11
Stephan Swenson	Guard	34	4-7	1-3	0-0	2	5	5	0	9
Ariel Bland	F	18	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	4
Ben Shtolzberg	G	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Deuce Turner	G	15	0-5	0-4	3-4	2	1	1	0	3
Evans Kipruto	C	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Koat Keat Tong	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency99.7

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

50.0%Effective FG%60.6%

57.0%True Shooting %63.4%

21.3%Turnover Rate19.5%

54.3%Free Throw Rate38.5%

37.0%3-Point Rate46.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.