Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Wagner

66.3%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -197

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 69

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricCentral Connecticut

42.9MMH Power Index44.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency111.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.0

-0.6Net Efficiency4.4

-5.0Strength of Schedule-7.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

67.6Tempo66.3

50.2%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Wagner

62—57

Central Connecticut

Wagner by 5 • 59.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

22-51FG19-51

43.0%FG%37.0%

6-133PT7-24

46.0%3PT%29.0%

12-16FT12-21

75.0%FT%57.0%

36Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists10

13Turnovers9

7Steals3

3Blocks9

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	23	8-11	0-0	3-5	7	1	0	1	19
Zaire Williams	G	33	4-10	4-8	6-6	1	1	1	0	18
Zae Blake	G	23	4-7	1-1	3-4	4	1	1	0	12
Javier Ezquerra	G	33	3-5	1-1	0-1	5	4	3	0	7
Churchill Bounds	F	20	2-8	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Zavier Fitch	F	38	0-5	0-3	0-0	7	1	1	1	0
Keyontae Lewis	F	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	29	6-12	2-5	0-2	2	2	1	0	14
Jayden Brown	Forward	36	4-10	2-6	2-4	6	2	0	1	12
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	28	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Jordan Jones	Guard	32	3-7	1-4	0-2	0	2	1	0	7
Abdul Momoh	F	27	1-7	0-0	5-8	6	0	0	3	7
Devin Haid	G	27	1-9	0-5	5-5	5	0	0	1	7
Max Frazier	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
James Jones	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.8Possessions59.8

103.7Offensive Efficiency95.3

95.3Defensive Efficiency103.7

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

49.0%Effective FG%44.1%

52.9%True Shooting %46.7%

21.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.4%Free Throw Rate41.2%

25.5%3-Point Rate47.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Wagner won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 59.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.