Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.7%Belmont

19.3%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -418

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 82

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreIndiana State 73

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricIndiana State

61.8MMH Power Index44.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency106.0

14.9Net Efficiency-1.3

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.1

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

70.7Tempo70.3

60.7%Effective FG%53.6%

17.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate28.8%

10.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–44.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (103.7–106.0), net efficiency (14.9–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-0.2).

Final

Belmont

84—79

Indiana State

Belmont by 5 • 76.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATIndiana State

31-60FG27-63

52.0%FG%43.0%

12-263PT10-37

46.0%3PT%27.0%

10-16FT15-24

63.0%FT%63.0%

40Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists19

17Turnovers14

7Steals9

3Blocks4

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Whitt	Guard	35	10-19	3-6	2-3	5	6	1	1	25
Brigham Rogers	F	30	6-8	0-0	1-3	8	2	2	1	13
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	25	4-13	3-8	0-0	7	1	0	0	11
Tyler Lundblade	G	32	2-5	2-5	4-4	2	2	2	0	10
Isaiah Walker	G	24	4-7	1-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	10
Brody Peebles	Guard	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Sam Orme	F	15	2-4	0-1	2-3	3	1	0	1	6
Aidan Noyes	F	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Jake Dykstra	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Daughtry	F	23	10-11	0-0	3-5	4	1	2	0	23
Samage Teel	Guard	33	7-16	3-8	3-5	6	6	0	1	20
Aaron Gray	Forward	31	2-5	1-3	6-9	10	1	0	0	11
Camp Wagner	G	26	3-14	3-13	0-0	2	1	0	1	9
Bruno Alocen	G	31	1-5	1-5	2-2	3	4	3	0	5
K'mani Doughty	Guard	16	1-3	1-2	1-2	1	3	2	0	4
Derek Vorst	C	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Jahni Summers	G	14	1-5	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Josiah LeGree	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Markus Harding	C	15	0-1	0-0	0-1	3	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.0Possessions76.0

110.5Offensive Efficiency103.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency110.5

6.6Net Efficiency-6.6

61.7%Effective FG%50.8%

62.1%True Shooting %53.1%

22.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

26.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

43.3%3-Point Rate58.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Belmont won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.