Holy Cross

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Holy Cross

66.8%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLafayette -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINELafayette -201

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 69

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreLafayette 74

Team Comparison

Holy CrossMetricLafayette

37.9MMH Power Index39.6

103.3Offensive Efficiency102.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

-7.6Net Efficiency-7.4

-2.6Strength of Schedule-1.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

66.1Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%49.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

22.4%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-5.1Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–37.9), defensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), net efficiency (-7.4–-7.6), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.3–102.9), recent form (-5.2–-6.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Holy Cross

65—82

Lafayette

Lafayette by 17 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Holy CrossTEAM STATLafayette

26-60FG34-59

43.0%FG%58.0%

6-223PT8-19

27.0%3PT%42.0%

7-8FT6-12

88.0%FT%50.0%

29Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds4

15Assists21

8Turnovers8

5Steals4

2Blocks3

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Nugent	G	35	5-11	3-7	5-6	4	0	1	1	18
Caleb Kenney	Forward	33	7-11	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	14
DeAndre Williams	G	36	5-8	2-3	0-0	1	6	1	0	12
Jaiden Feroah	F	32	5-7	0-0	0-0	8	0	2	1	10
Kahlil Singleton	G	22	2-7	1-5	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Max Green	G	33	1-14	0-7	0-0	5	6	0	0	2
Ben Capron	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jaden Kirkwood	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Declan Ryan	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	32	8-13	0-0	2-2	6	4	0	2	18
Caleb Williams	G	30	6-13	2-6	1-3	4	5	2	0	15
Andrew Phillips	G	33	5-8	3-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	13
Mark Butler	G	27	6-8	0-0	0-1	3	3	0	0	12
Alex Chaikin	G	30	3-7	2-4	2-3	5	5	1	0	10
Misha Bednostin	C	8	3-3	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	1	6
TJ Berger	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Malik Rasul	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Ryan Pettit	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Luka Savicevic	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

95.9Offensive Efficiency120.9

120.9Defensive Efficiency95.9

-25.1Net Efficiency25.1

48.3%Effective FG%64.4%

50.9%True Shooting %63.4%

12.0%Turnover Rate11.6%

13.3%Free Throw Rate20.3%

36.7%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.88Assist / Turnover2.63

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.