NJIT

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%NJIT

75.0%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMass Lowell -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUMass Lowell -300

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNJIT 69

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 77

Team Comparison

NJITMetricUMass Lowell

38.5MMH Power Index43.8

98.1Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

-9.1Net Efficiency-2.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.6

-5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

68.3Tempo69.4

47.0%Effective FG%51.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-6.2Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMass Lowell HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMass Lowell holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.8–38.5), offensive efficiency (107.9–98.1), net efficiency (-2.0–-9.1), recent form (1.0–-5.8).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–109.9), strength of schedule (-0.5–-4.6), ball security (16.9–17.6).

Final

NJIT

62—70

UMass Lowell

UMass Lowell by 8 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NJITTEAM STATUMass Lowell

25-66FG22-50

38.0%FG%44.0%

7-203PT7-22

35.0%3PT%32.0%

5-9FT19-22

56.0%FT%86.0%

39Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists15

7Turnovers8

3Steals3

2Blocks6

20Fouls9

Player Box Score

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Robinson	G	40	10-26	1-3	0-0	4	6	1	0	21
Tim Moore Jr.	F	30	5-9	2-3	2-5	8	0	0	2	14
Ari Fulton	G	39	3-9	1-4	3-4	13	3	0	0	10
Cameron Piggee	G	26	3-8	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic	C	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Levi Lawal	Forward	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
John Kelly	F	25	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jordan Rogers	F	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Quentin Duncan	G	7	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martin Somerville	G	35	7-12	5-9	7-7	2	6	0	0	26
Max Brooks	Forward	35	7-10	0-0	2-4	14	5	0	5	16
Cam Morris III	F	26	3-6	0-1	5-5	6	2	1	1	11
Yuri Covington	Guard	34	2-6	1-3	3-4	3	1	1	0	8
Quinton Mincey	Guard	26	2-7	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	7
Quincy Clark	Guard	24	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Xzavier Lino	Forward	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Anthony Blunt	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

96.3Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency96.3

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

43.2%Effective FG%51.0%

44.1%True Shooting %57.9%

10.9%Turnover Rate12.4%

13.6%Free Throw Rate44.0%

30.3%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

UMass Lowell won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.