UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%UNC Wilmington

62.7%Hofstra

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHofstra -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINEHofstra -168

Hofstra

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 70

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreHofstra 74

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricHofstra

59.2MMH Power Index59.3

114.1Offensive Efficiency114.0

101.7Defensive Efficiency100.9

12.4Net Efficiency13.1

-1.5Strength of Schedule-2.9

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

66.9Tempo66.2

51.1%Effective FG%52.2%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.1%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

41.7%Free Throw Rate32.0%

8.3Average Margin8.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hofstra HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHofstra holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.3–59.2), defensive efficiency (100.9–101.7), net efficiency (13.1–12.4), recent form (14.0–5.5).

UNC Wilmington COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.1–114.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-2.9), ball security (14.8–16.1).

Final

UNC Wilmington

63—66

Hofstra

Hofstra by 3 • 61.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATHofstra

22-58FG23-51

38.0%FG%45.0%

10-303PT12-28

33.0%3PT%43.0%

9-18FT8-14

50.0%FT%57.0%

38Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists14

9Turnovers14

6Steals5

1Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Newby	Not Available	38	9-22	8-14	4-5	5	5	2	0	30
Sean Moore	Forward	27	4-9	1-5	0-0	7	0	1	0	9
Khamari McGriff	F	23	3-5	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	1	8
Joshua Corbin	Guard	22	2-8	1-7	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Greedy Williams	G	19	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	4	0	0	4
Bo Montgomery	Guard	21	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	3	1	0	2
Harlan Obioha	C	18	1-2	0-0	0-6	4	1	0	0	2
Noah Ross	G	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	2
Nolan Hodge	G	20	0-4	0-2	1-2	4	1	0	0	1

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jean Aranguren	G	37	7-15	5-9	1-1	3	4	1	0	20
Khalil Farmer	G	38	4-9	3-6	2-2	1	1	0	0	13
Michael Graham	Forward	21	5-5	0-0	1-3	11	0	1	2	11
Cruz Davis	G	32	2-9	2-5	1-2	3	7	2	1	7
TJ Gadsden	Guard	29	2-4	2-4	0-2	4	1	0	1	6
Silas Sunday	F	19	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	0	6
KiJan Robinson	G	18	0-4	0-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Joshua DeCady	F	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

61.2Possessions61.2

102.9Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency102.9

-4.9Net Efficiency4.9

46.6%Effective FG%56.9%

47.3%True Shooting %57.2%

14.9%Turnover Rate22.7%

31.0%Free Throw Rate27.5%

51.7%3-Point Rate54.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Hofstra won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.