Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%Northern Illinois

93.1%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -1349

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreOhio 85

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricOhio

29.2MMH Power Index48

99.7Offensive Efficiency109.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency110.7

-11.9Net Efficiency-1.0

-2.1Strength of Schedule-0.1

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.7Tempo71.0

48.5%Effective FG%52.0%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.8%

-8.3Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (109.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (110.7–111.6), net efficiency (-1.0–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–28.9), free throw rate (39.6–37.8).

Final

Northern Illinois

70—108

Ohio

Ohio by 38 • 79.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATOhio

26-67FG37-60

39.0%FG%62.0%

10-303PT17-31

33.0%3PT%55.0%

8-18FT17-25

44.0%FT%68.0%

28Rebounds46

6Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists25

9Turnovers15

7Steals3

1Blocks2

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	37	9-17	1-3	6-9	8	5	2	0	25
Quaran McPherson	G	17	6-13	2-7	0-4	3	1	1	0	14
James Dent Jr.	G	29	4-12	2-7	2-3	1	3	1	0	12
Nas Muhammad	G	20	4-10	4-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Ethan Butler	F	24	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Tsvet Sotirov	F	27	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Kailon Nicholls	G	15	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Jayden Mott	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	18	10-12	9-10	2-4	4	2	1	2	31
Jackson Paveletzke	G	23	9-10	1-1	0-2	3	5	0	0	19
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	25	3-7	3-5	6-6	6	5	0	0	15
Aidan Hadaway	F	26	5-6	0-1	0-0	11	4	0	0	10
Elijah Elliott	G	15	4-8	1-2	1-1	6	1	0	0	10
AJ Brown	G	19	2-3	1-1	2-3	3	2	0	0	7
Ajay Sheldon	G	15	2-5	1-4	2-3	2	0	1	0	7
Ayden Evans	F	14	0-1	0-1	4-6	5	1	0	0	4
Elmore James IV	G	18	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Vic Searls	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Ben Nicol	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ben Estis	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.3Possessions79.3

88.3Offensive Efficiency136.2

136.2Defensive Efficiency88.3

-47.9Net Efficiency47.9

46.3%Effective FG%75.8%

46.3%True Shooting %75.1%

11.5%Turnover Rate18.8%

26.9%Free Throw Rate41.7%

44.8%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Ohio won by 38 points. The game played at approximately 79.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.