East Texas A&M

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%East Texas A&M

69.7%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -230

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 67

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 73

Team Comparison

East Texas A&MMetricNorthwestern State

38.4MMH Power Index41.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency104.0

107.5Defensive Efficiency109.0

-6.3Net Efficiency-5.0

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.6

-9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

69.3Tempo63.6

50.7%Effective FG%49.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

31.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-4.3Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

East Texas A&M

67—75

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 8 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Texas A&MTEAM STATNorthwestern State

28-64FG23-49

44.0%FG%47.0%

4-243PT10-23

17.0%3PT%43.0%

7-19FT19-24

37.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds39

14Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists15

9Turnovers18

9Steals3

3Blocks3

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scooter Williams	G	31	7-12	2-6	2-6	6	1	2	0	18
Demarco Bethea	F	23	4-7	0-0	2-4	7	1	0	0	10
Chris Adlam	G	12	4-6	1-2	1-1	3	2	0	0	10
Josh Taylor	F	19	3-8	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	3	8
Tay Mosher	F	22	3-6	0-3	0-2	1	2	2	0	6
Yusef Salih	Guard	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Camerin James	Guard	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
TJ Thomas	Guard	22	1-4	0-3	0-3	1	2	2	0	2
Evan Phelps	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	2
KC Ugwuakazi	F	4	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Khaliq Abdul-Mateen	Guard	19	0-6	0-5	0-0	2	0	2	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	31	6-10	5-8	8-9	4	2	1	0	25
Jon Sanders II	G	21	3-7	2-4	4-4	3	1	0	0	12
Addison Patterson	F	30	5-13	0-2	1-2	7	7	1	0	11
Willie Williams	F	33	4-6	0-0	2-5	10	1	1	1	10
JT Warren	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	1	6
Chris Mubiru	G	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Landyn Jumawan	G	18	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Justin Redmond	G	9	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Lado Laku	Forward	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Love Bettis	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

97.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency97.5

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

46.9%Effective FG%57.1%

45.9%True Shooting %62.1%

13.2%Turnover Rate25.9%

29.7%Free Throw Rate49.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate46.9%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.