Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Central Arkansas

47.7%Florida Gulf Coast

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -110

Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 79

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 79

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricFlorida Gulf Coast

54MMH Power Index48.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.2

8.7Net Efficiency1.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

71.0Tempo70.0

54.3%Effective FG%52.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate29.9%

6.1Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–48.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–110.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.2), net efficiency (8.7–1.3).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.3–29.6).

Final

Central Arkansas

71—77

Florida Gulf Coast

Florida Gulf Coast by 6 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATFlorida Gulf Coast

25-65FG27-53

38.0%FG%51.0%

11-333PT8-23

33.0%3PT%35.0%

10-12FT15-18

83.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists16

10Turnovers16

11Steals5

2Blocks7

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Cato	Forward	37	11-20	5-10	2-3	6	1	0	1	29
Diogo Seixas	Forward	28	3-9	1-2	4-5	4	2	0	0	11
Layne Taylor	G	38	4-15	2-10	0-0	2	4	2	0	10
Cole McCormick	F	27	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	3	0	6
Ben Fox	Guard	16	1-2	0-1	4-4	1	0	2	0	6
Nehemiah Turner	F	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	1	4
Mike Evbagharu	G	14	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Brayden Fagbemi	G	30	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	3	2	0	2

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zavian McLean	Guard	37	8-13	4-9	0-0	3	2	2	2	20
Jevin Muniz	G	35	6-7	3-4	2-2	12	6	0	0	17
Keeshawn Kellman	Forward	32	4-8	0-0	4-5	4	2	1	3	12
Rahmir Barno	G	28	3-7	0-1	6-7	5	3	1	0	12
Dallion Johnson	Guard	34	3-12	0-7	2-2	1	2	1	1	8
Michael Duax	F	19	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	5
Rory Stewart	F	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tristen Guillouette	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

103.3Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency103.3

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

46.9%Effective FG%58.5%

50.2%True Shooting %62.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate23.0%

18.5%Free Throw Rate34.0%

50.8%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Florida Gulf Coast won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.