Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.8%Bowling Green

27.2%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -268

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 76

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricBall State

54.7MMH Power Index41.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency101.7

99.1Defensive Efficiency104.7

13.5Net Efficiency-3.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

72.2Tempo66.4

53.4%Effective FG%48.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

38.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

9.8Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–104.7), net efficiency (13.5–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-4.7).

Final

Bowling Green

69—91

Ball State

Ball State by 22 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATBall State

25-62FG33-56

40.0%FG%59.0%

8-273PT7-17

30.0%3PT%41.0%

11-21FT18-22

52.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists21

14Turnovers13

7Steals4

2Blocks4

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	34	6-8	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	0	13
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	28	3-5	3-5	3-6	5	0	0	0	12
Marcus Johnson	F	35	5-19	1-8	0-1	6	3	2	1	11
Trey Thomas	Guard	23	4-11	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Jamai Felt	F	15	2-3	0-0	5-7	5	0	1	1	9
Derrick Butler	Guard	38	3-11	2-7	0-2	1	2	1	0	8
Braelon Green	G	27	2-5	0-1	2-3	4	4	1	0	6

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Payton Sparks	Center	24	8-11	0-0	3-3	13	0	0	0	19
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	33	5-9	0-2	6-7	6	3	0	2	16
Juanse Gorosito	G	26	6-9	4-7	0-0	1	2	0	0	16
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	29	5-7	1-2	3-4	5	4	3	0	14
Fatt Hill	G	38	4-10	0-2	4-6	7	6	1	0	12
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	22	3-6	2-4	2-2	0	4	0	0	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2	2
Joey Hart	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Mason Jones	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

94.1Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency94.1

-30.0Net Efficiency30.0

46.8%Effective FG%65.2%

47.9%True Shooting %68.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

33.9%Free Throw Rate39.3%

43.5%3-Point Rate30.4%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.62

Game Summary

Ball State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.