UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%UNLV

69.0%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -223

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 81

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricColorado State

52.8MMH Power Index55.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

109.6Defensive Efficiency109.9

1.4Net Efficiency7.2

2.7Strength of Schedule0.4

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

71.4Tempo64.7

53.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

41.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

1.0Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–1.4), recent form (4.3–1.1).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.9), strength of schedule (2.7–0.4), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

UNLV

62—84

Colorado State

Colorado State by 22 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATColorado State

25-60FG30-53

42.0%FG%57.0%

5-173PT12-24

29.0%3PT%50.0%

7-11FT12-15

64.0%FT%80.0%

28Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists24

10Turnovers13

5Steals6

1Blocks3

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	37	8-13	0-1	3-4	3	6	1	0	19
Jaden Henley	G	28	7-13	4-7	1-2	2	1	1	0	19
Jalen Hill	Forward	22	3-5	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	0	8
Jailen Bedford	G	28	2-11	1-5	0-0	8	1	2	0	5
Jeremiah Cherry	F	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Pape N'Diaye	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	4
Julian Rishwain	Guard	24	1-7	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Brooklyn Hicks	G	21	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	7-11	4-5	4-6	5	7	4	1	22
Rashaan Mbemba	F	25	8-9	0-1	6-6	5	0	0	1	22
Jalen Lake	Guard	27	5-12	3-6	0-0	6	4	0	1	13
Kyan Evans	G	28	4-7	3-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	11
Bowen Born	Guard	12	2-3	1-2	1-1	0	2	0	0	6
Keshawn Williams	G	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	26	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	5	2	0	4
Kyle Jorgensen	F	13	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	2	0	0	1
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

95.8Offensive Efficiency129.8

129.8Defensive Efficiency95.8

-34.0Net Efficiency34.0

45.8%Effective FG%67.9%

47.5%True Shooting %69.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate20.0%

18.3%Free Throw Rate28.3%

28.3%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.85

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.