Bucknell

10-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Bucknell

87.0%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -669

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBucknell 66

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreAmerican University 80

Team Comparison

BucknellMetricAmerican University

35.7MMH Power Index48.2

99.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

112.8Defensive Efficiency105.8

-13.3Net Efficiency4.8

2.0Strength of Schedule-4.3

-11.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

67.7Tempo67.5

48.4%Effective FG%52.6%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-8.9Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–35.7), offensive efficiency (110.6–99.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.8), net efficiency (4.8–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-4.3), free throw rate (30.7–30.1).

Final

Bucknell

58—68

American University

American University by 10 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BucknellTEAM STATAmerican University

20-54FG23-49

37.0%FG%47.0%

2-193PT6-18

11.0%3PT%33.0%

16-21FT16-21

76.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds29

16Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists10

17Turnovers14

7Steals8

2Blocks3

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Williamson	C	36	8-15	0-2	7-10	11	1	0	1	23
Josh Bascoe	Guard	39	4-12	0-5	4-5	2	4	1	0	12
Ruot Bijiek	F	35	4-8	0-3	0-0	5	1	1	1	8
Brandon McCreesh	G	11	2-4	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Jayden Williams	G	15	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Achile Spadone	G	34	1-6	0-3	0-0	5	2	3	0	2
Elvin Edmonds IV	Guard	21	0-3	0-1	2-2	5	1	1	0	2
Pip Ajayi	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	1

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	22	8-10	2-3	2-3	3	1	4	1	20
Greg Jones	F	29	3-7	1-2	7-8	6	0	1	0	14
Lincoln Ball	Guard	29	4-5	0-0	0-1	5	1	1	1	8
Wyatt Nausadis	G	11	3-5	2-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
Elijah Stephens	Guard	34	3-10	0-2	1-2	1	6	1	0	7
Colin Smalls	Guard	29	0-3	0-3	5-5	3	0	0	0	5
Julen Iturbe	F	13	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Eric Michaels	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Mason Whittaker	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
Matt Mayock	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

88.5Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency88.5

-15.3Net Efficiency15.3

38.9%Effective FG%53.1%

45.3%True Shooting %57.7%

26.2%Turnover Rate21.2%

38.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

35.2%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.59Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

American University won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.