California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%California Baptist

64.5%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -182

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 69

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 76

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUtah Valley

58.3MMH Power Index59.1

106.5Offensive Efficiency113.4

99.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.5Net Efficiency16.1

1.8Strength of Schedule-3.3

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

68.2Tempo70.6

48.8%Effective FG%56.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–58.3), offensive efficiency (113.4–106.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.0), net efficiency (16.1–7.5).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.3), recent form (11.0–6.8), ball security (17.9–19.9).

Final

California Baptist

69—75

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 6 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUtah Valley

28-63FG26-58

44.0%FG%45.0%

8-243PT3-12

33.0%3PT%25.0%

5-8FT20-23

63.0%FT%87.0%

29Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists12

12Turnovers12

8Steals8

1Blocks7

19Fouls10

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Braun	Forward	26	7-11	0-1	2-3	4	1	0	0	16
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	33	6-18	3-9	0-0	3	5	0	0	15
Adam Moussa	Guard	35	4-7	4-6	1-2	2	7	2	0	13
Martel Williams	G	25	5-10	0-3	1-1	3	1	2	0	11
Kendal Coleman	Forward	18	3-6	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Javonte Johnson	Guard	10	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Sam Silverstein	G	29	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Jonathan Griman	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Bradey Henige	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	2	0	1
Tylen Riley	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	34	6-13	0-3	3-4	7	1	3	2	15
Tanner Toolson	G	29	4-11	1-3	5-5	6	3	1	2	14
Carter Welling	F	28	2-8	0-1	5-6	9	2	2	1	9
Trevan Leonhardt	G	28	3-6	1-1	2-2	4	4	1	0	9
Hayden Welling	F	12	2-3	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Osiris Grady	F	18	3-6	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	0	6
Kylin Green	G	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Ethan Potter	F	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Cory Wells	F	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jackson Holcombe	G	10	1-4	0-2	1-1	1	0	1	2	3
Noah Taitz	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

96.0Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency96.0

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

50.8%Effective FG%47.4%

51.6%True Shooting %54.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.9%

12.7%Free Throw Rate39.7%

38.1%3-Point Rate20.7%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.