Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%Alabama State

42.5%Jackson State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -135

Jackson State

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 79

Projected Total154.7

Projected ScoreJackson State 76

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricJackson State

38MMH Power Index30.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency98.1

107.4Defensive Efficiency117.0

-5.7Net Efficiency-18.9

-6.2Strength of Schedule-0.7

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.3

71.9Tempo71.6

48.2%Effective FG%45.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate19.4%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-4.1Average Margin-13.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–30.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–98.1), defensive efficiency (107.4–117.0), net efficiency (-5.7–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.2), free throw rate (37.9–35.8).

Final

Alabama State

70—77

Jackson State

Jackson State by 7 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATJackson State

28-65FG24-52

43.0%FG%46.0%

7-253PT11-22

28.0%3PT%50.0%

7-15FT18-27

47.0%FT%67.0%

36Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists14

11Turnovers14

9Steals6

2Blocks6

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amarr Knox	G	36	9-19	2-5	4-5	5	4	1	0	24
CJ Hines	G	32	6-13	2-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	14
Micah Simpson	G	22	4-8	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	10
TJ Madlock	Guard	30	3-8	0-3	2-5	6	2	0	0	8
Micah Octave	G	30	3-9	1-4	0-1	10	0	3	0	7
JaSteven Walker	F	11	1-3	0-1	1-3	3	0	1	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	19	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	2
Jalen Keago	G	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
D'Ante Bass	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Tyler Mack	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dorian McMillian	G	39	7-12	7-9	2-4	7	1	2	0	23
Romelle Mansel	Forward	36	4-11	0-0	6-10	9	5	1	3	14
Daeshun Ruffin	G	29	2-9	1-6	6-6	2	5	1	0	11
Dylan Canoville	Forward	24	3-3	0-0	4-7	6	0	1	2	10
Keiveon Hunt	G	13	3-5	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Shannon Grant	Center	14	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Delyle Williams	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Tamarion Hoover	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	10	1	0	0	2
Marcus Watson Jr.	Guard	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Juan Reyna	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency100.1

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

48.5%Effective FG%56.7%

48.5%True Shooting %59.4%

15.7%Turnover Rate20.1%

23.1%Free Throw Rate51.9%

38.5%3-Point Rate42.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.