Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Incarnate Word

48.5%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -106

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 72

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 72

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricHouston Christian

44.6MMH Power Index39.5

112.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

0.8Net Efficiency-7.8

-3.6Strength of Schedule-0.6

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

66.3Tempo65.4

52.2%Effective FG%49.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.1%

0.5Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–39.5), offensive efficiency (112.0–102.5), net efficiency (0.8–-7.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.9).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–111.2), strength of schedule (-0.6–-3.6), recent form (-8.2–-8.5).

Final

Incarnate Word

76—81

Houston Christian

Houston Christian by 5 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATHouston Christian

31-58FG27-50

53.0%FG%54.0%

4-133PT11-21

31.0%3PT%52.0%

10-15FT16-22

67.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists14

9Turnovers11

5Steals5

3Blocks2

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pyke	F	33	12-18	0-0	3-4	7	1	0	0	27
Dylan Hayman	Forward	23	8-9	1-1	2-3	1	0	1	2	19
Davion Bailey	G	37	2-9	2-7	3-3	3	3	1	0	9
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	33	4-14	1-3	0-0	2	4	1	1	9
Jayden Williams	C	24	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	0	6
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	14	2-2	0-0	0-3	4	0	0	0	4
Lamin Sabally	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Shon Robinson	Forward	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Harrison Reede	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryson Dawkins	G	33	6-13	4-8	1-2	6	2	1	0	17
Julian Mackey	G	27	4-7	3-4	5-7	0	2	0	0	16
Elijah Brooks	G	33	6-11	0-0	3-4	7	4	1	0	15
D'Aundre Samuels	G	11	5-6	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	1	13
Demari Williams	G	27	1-2	0-1	6-7	1	1	2	0	8
Peyton Rogers	Forward	30	2-3	1-1	0-0	6	2	0	1	5
Trent Johnson	F	27	2-5	0-2	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Porter Bazil	SF	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Pierce Bazil	PG	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

123.0Offensive Efficiency131.1

131.1Defensive Efficiency123.0

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

56.9%Effective FG%65.0%

58.3%True Shooting %67.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

25.9%Free Throw Rate44.0%

22.4%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Houston Christian won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.