Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.1%Tennessee State

5.9%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -1595

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 83

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 66

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricWestern Illinois

55.4MMH Power Index25.9

110.9Offensive Efficiency96.2

102.7Defensive Efficiency113.9

8.2Net Efficiency-17.7

-3.1Strength of Schedule-2.4

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

72.4Tempo67.5

50.9%Effective FG%45.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

5.9Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–113.9), net efficiency (8.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1), free throw rate (37.5–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

72—52

Western Illinois

Tennessee State by 20 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATWestern Illinois

27-56FG16-49

48.0%FG%33.0%

7-163PT6-18

44.0%3PT%33.0%

11-13FT14-21

85.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists8

9Turnovers12

7Steals5

6Blocks3

16Fouls10

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Jessamy	F	23	7-11	0-0	2-3	8	2	0	5	16
Josh Ogundele	F	21	5-7	0-0	2-2	8	1	2	0	12
Brandon Weston	Guard	28	3-6	1-1	2-2	7	4	1	0	9
Justus Jackson	Guard	28	3-8	1-3	2-2	1	5	0	0	9
Travis Harper II	G	16	3-4	3-4	0-0	0	0	2	0	9
Carlous Williams	F	17	1-5	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	1	5
Antoine Lorick III	F	15	2-3	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	0	5
Knute Wood	Guard	14	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Aaron Nkrumah	G	30	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	4	1	0	2
Blake Fleming	G	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Louis Daoust	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JC Brooks	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Maddux Bodenhamer	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julius Rollins	G	33	6-10	4-5	2-2	4	0	2	0	18
Marko Maletic	Guard	32	4-14	1-7	4-5	2	2	1	0	13
Sean Smith	G	37	2-9	0-2	4-6	5	4	2	0	8
Kayden Carter	Forward	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	6
Ryan Myers	G	28	1-5	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Trey Deveaux	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Rodrick Payne	Forward	11	0-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Massal Diouf	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Caleb Thompson	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Tay Knox	C	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency83.1

83.1Defensive Efficiency115.0

31.9Net Efficiency-31.9

54.5%Effective FG%38.8%

57.9%True Shooting %44.1%

14.0%Turnover Rate19.7%

23.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

28.6%3-Point Rate36.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.