Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%Long Beach State

79.0%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -376

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 73

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreUC Davis 83

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricUC Davis

41.1MMH Power Index48.4

103.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

-4.0Net Efficiency3.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.9

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.2Tempo72.4

51.5%Effective FG%52.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

31.1%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-2.9Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.8), net efficiency (3.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.9).

Final

Long Beach State

84—73

UC Davis

Long Beach State by 11 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATUC Davis

24-46FG19-54

52.0%FG%35.0%

11-173PT8-22

65.0%3PT%36.0%

25-28FT27-31

89.0%FT%87.0%

25Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists9

13Turnovers16

7Steals6

5Blocks3

24Fouls24

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	38	9-13	4-6	10-10	4	5	2	0	32
TJ Wainwright	G	33	4-8	3-5	2-2	1	1	1	0	13
Kam Martin	G	28	3-6	3-4	3-4	2	1	0	0	12
Austin Johnson	Not Available	30	4-10	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	2	10
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	26	0-2	0-1	8-10	4	0	2	3	8
Cam Denson	F	22	2-4	1-1	0-0	7	2	1	0	5
Christian Richardson	C	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Andrew Nagy	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Varick Lewis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	34	6-15	1-3	18-20	6	4	3	0	31
Connor Sevilla	G	35	4-10	4-10	0-0	3	2	0	0	12
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	33	3-9	1-3	5-5	4	3	1	0	12
Pablo Tamba	F	34	2-5	0-1	3-4	2	0	0	1	7
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Isaiah Chappell	F	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Nils Cooper	G	16	0-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Niko Rocak	F	24	0-5	0-1	0-0	9	0	1	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

126.3Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency126.3

16.5Net Efficiency-16.5

64.1%Effective FG%42.6%

70.8%True Shooting %53.1%

19.9%Turnover Rate23.6%

60.9%Free Throw Rate57.4%

37.0%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.