Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Jacksonville State

65.8%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -192

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 75

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

51.2MMH Power Index52.5

108.2Offensive Efficiency109.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency105.7

6.4Net Efficiency3.9

-2.3Strength of Schedule0.4

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.2Tempo68.8

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

44.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.3Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.3), recent form (3.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.7), net efficiency (6.4–3.9), free throw rate (44.5–33.2).

Final

Jacksonville State

64—81

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 17 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

22-57FG28-61

39.0%FG%46.0%

4-153PT8-26

27.0%3PT%31.0%

16-23FT17-23

70.0%FT%74.0%

37Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists16

16Turnovers12

5Steals11

4Blocks3

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	37	8-22	3-10	3-5	9	3	0	2	22
Michael Houge	F	31	4-9	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	1	11
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	33	3-7	0-1	3-6	5	0	3	0	9
Mason Nicholson	F	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Koree Cotton	G	31	1-6	1-3	4-4	4	1	0	1	7
Iaroslav Niagu	F	22	2-2	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	7
Quel'Ron House	G	25	0-5	0-0	0-0	1	5	1	0	0
Jao Ituka	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	39	9-22	6-14	5-5	3	1	4	0	29
Essam Mostafa	Forward	34	10-12	0-0	2-3	9	1	1	0	22
Torey Alston	F	32	5-6	0-0	1-5	8	2	0	1	11
Jlynn Counter	G	32	2-8	1-4	4-4	4	9	3	1	9
Justin Bufford	Guard	31	1-7	1-5	1-2	7	3	0	0	4
Tre Green	G	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Chris Loofe	F	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Camryn Weston	Guard	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

90.9Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency90.9

-24.1Net Efficiency24.1

42.1%Effective FG%52.5%

47.1%True Shooting %56.3%

22.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

40.4%Free Throw Rate37.7%

26.3%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.