North Florida

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%North Florida

81.3%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL170.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -435

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 80

Projected Total170.6

Projected ScoreBellarmine 91

Team Comparison

North FloridaMetricBellarmine

36.3MMH Power Index44.9

109.4Offensive Efficiency119.6

121.1Defensive Efficiency122.1

-11.7Net Efficiency-2.5

-0.6Strength of Schedule-2.8

-9.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

72.8Tempo66.9

53.6%Effective FG%60.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

29.5%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-8.6Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–36.3), offensive efficiency (119.6–109.4), net efficiency (-2.5–-11.7), recent form (0.3–-9.3).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (121.1–122.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.8), offensive rebounding (26.6–22.7).

Final

North Florida

98—83

Bellarmine

North Florida by 15 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North FloridaTEAM STATBellarmine

36-58FG33-61

62.0%FG%54.0%

20-373PT5-18

54.0%3PT%28.0%

6-11FT12-20

55.0%FT%60.0%

28Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds12

20Assists17

9Turnovers9

6Steals4

3Blocks2

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasai Miles	G	32	8-13	3-6	1-3	7	0	0	1	20
Liam Murphy	F	23	6-9	6-9	0-0	5	5	0	1	18
Jaylen Smith	G	26	6-10	2-4	0-0	2	3	0	1	14
Nate Lliteras	Guard	27	3-6	1-4	2-2	3	2	2	0	9
Josh Harris	F	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Ametri Moss	G	14	3-4	2-3	0-2	1	5	1	0	8
Oscar Berry	Guard	25	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Kamrin Oriol	G	12	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Dante Oliver	G	11	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	6
Mason Lee	F	9	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	3

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	26	11-16	1-3	4-7	1	2	0	0	27
Billy Smith	G	32	9-18	2-6	0-1	5	2	2	2	20
Ben Johnson	G	32	6-9	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	13
Kenyon Goodin	G	28	1-4	0-2	4-6	8	3	1	0	6
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	25	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	4
AJ Lux	Guard	8	1-2	1-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	4
Luke Anderson	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Curt Hopf	Forward	15	1-5	0-2	0-1	4	2	0	0	2
Landin Hacker	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Myles Watkins	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Grant Whitaker	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tyler Doyle	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

146.5Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency146.5

22.4Net Efficiency-22.4

79.3%Effective FG%58.2%

77.5%True Shooting %58.9%

13.6%Turnover Rate13.3%

19.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

63.8%3-Point Rate29.5%

2.22Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

North Florida won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.