Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Missouri State

71.1%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -246

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 70

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 77

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricSouthern Illinois

51.1MMH Power Index54.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

2.1Net Efficiency4.9

0.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.9Tempo70.6

51.8%Effective FG%49.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.3%

1.4Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–51.1), defensive efficiency (98.5–108.4), net efficiency (4.9–2.1), strength of schedule (1.6–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (51.8–49.5), ball security (16.4–17.0).

Final

Missouri State

78—88

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 10 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

25-59FG31-65

42.0%FG%48.0%

11-293PT7-19

38.0%3PT%37.0%

17-25FT19-27

68.0%FT%70.0%

37Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists18

19Turnovers11

5Steals11

3Blocks3

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vincent Brady II	G	42	6-12	3-5	9-14	2	3	0	0	24
Zaxton King	G	37	8-16	4-9	3-3	5	2	1	0	23
Chase Martin	Guard	27	3-4	1-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	9
Dez White	G	30	3-11	2-8	0-0	2	4	1	0	8
Allen Udemadu	F	21	2-4	0-2	0-0	7	1	0	2	4
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	20	2-7	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	1	4
Logan Epes	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-2	2	3	0	0	3
Jalen Hampton	G	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Wesley Oba	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Makhai Valentine	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	31	11-16	3-4	5-6	6	2	2	1	30
Drew Steffe	G	32	5-9	3-6	3-4	2	1	0	0	16
Ali Dibba	G	40	5-14	0-2	3-4	3	4	1	0	13
Sheridan Sharp	G	31	4-6	1-2	1-2	5	3	2	1	10
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	40	2-9	0-2	3-4	10	5	0	1	7
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	37	2-6	0-2	2-3	4	3	4	0	6
Rolyns Aligbe	F	9	2-5	0-1	2-4	3	0	2	0	6
Antwaun Massey	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency103.4

-13.3Net Efficiency13.3

51.7%Effective FG%53.1%

55.0%True Shooting %56.5%

25.0%Turnover Rate14.7%

42.4%Free Throw Rate41.5%

49.2%3-Point Rate29.2%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.