Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Northern Iowa

44.1%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL136.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -127

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 68

Projected Total136.0

Projected ScoreIllinois State 68

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricIllinois State

61MMH Power Index54.3

108.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

96.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

12.0Net Efficiency9.2

2.2Strength of Schedule1.0

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

64.1Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

7.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.3), defensive efficiency (96.4–101.4), net efficiency (12.0–9.2), strength of schedule (2.2–1.0).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.4), offensive rebounding (28.3–21.9), free throw rate (32.0–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

85—84

Illinois State

Northern Iowa by 1 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATIllinois State

30-53FG25-54

57.0%FG%46.0%

14-313PT12-24

45.0%3PT%50.0%

11-12FT22-27

92.0%FT%81.0%

26Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists13

11Turnovers9

7Steals9

3Blocks—

21Fouls10

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	35	10-17	8-13	2-2	5	0	2	0	30
Tytan Anderson	Guard	37	5-7	1-2	3-3	7	7	1	1	14
Ben Schwieger	F	22	5-7	2-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	14
Max Weisbrod	G	28	3-6	3-6	0-1	1	3	0	0	9
Jacob Hutson	Center	21	2-6	0-3	4-4	3	1	1	0	8
Leon Bond III	F	36	3-7	0-3	0-0	5	1	1	2	6
Redek Born	G	6	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Will Hornseth	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kyle Pock	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Chase Walker	F	29	6-12	1-1	14-16	9	3	0	27
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	5-11	3-6	6-6	4	4	1	19
Jordan Davis	Guard	37	6-11	4-8	0-0	6	2	2	16
Ty Pence	G	26	3-5	1-3	0-1	3	3	1	7
Jack Daugherty	F	10	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	6
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	5
Dalton Banks	Guard	34	1-7	0-2	1-2	3	1	4	3
Landon Wolf	G	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

131.2Offensive Efficiency129.6

129.6Defensive Efficiency131.2

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

69.8%Effective FG%57.4%

72.4%True Shooting %62.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

22.6%Free Throw Rate50.0%

58.5%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.