Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Villanova

84.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -562

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 70

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreSt. John's 82

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricSt. John's

59.4MMH Power Index70.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency114.4

105.9Defensive Efficiency97.6

8.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.4Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

67.3Tempo70.9

53.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

31.4%Free Throw Rate41.1%

5.9Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–59.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.9), net efficiency (16.8–8.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (53.9–51.3).

Final

Villanova

68—80

St. John's

St. John's by 12 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATSt. John's

22-56FG22-55

39.0%FG%40.0%

10-263PT7-24

38.0%3PT%29.0%

14-17FT29-39

82.0%FT%74.0%

28Rebounds44

8Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists11

9Turnovers9

5Steals5

2Blocks3

29Fouls16

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wooga Poplar	Guard	37	7-13	2-5	6-7	4	1	0	0	22
Eric Dixon	Forward	38	6-19	4-9	2-2	2	3	1	1	18
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	34	4-9	3-5	2-2	6	3	0	0	13
Jordan Longino	Guard	37	2-7	1-4	1-2	2	2	2	0	6
Enoch Boakye	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Kris Parker	G	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	2
Josiah Moseley	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Tyler Perkins	G	14	0-4	0-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	1

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	34	6-15	2-6	16-20	10	1	1	0	30
Aaron Scott	Guard	39	4-11	2-7	2-4	4	2	0	1	12
Deivon Smith	Guard	17	4-6	3-5	1-1	4	0	1	0	12
Zuby Ejiofor	F	34	2-4	0-1	7-11	9	2	0	1	11
Kadary Richmond	Guard	33	3-7	0-0	3-3	4	5	2	0	9
Simeon Wilcher	G	28	3-10	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Ruben Prey	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

104.1Offensive Efficiency122.5

122.5Defensive Efficiency104.1

-18.4Net Efficiency18.4

48.2%Effective FG%46.4%

53.1%True Shooting %54.4%

13.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

30.4%Free Throw Rate70.9%

46.4%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

St. John's won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.