Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Northern Arizona

91.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -1063

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 67

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreMontana State 83

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricMontana State

36.9MMH Power Index53.6

107.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.8Defensive Efficiency104.9

-7.7Net Efficiency9.5

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.7

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

66.6Tempo68.1

53.5%Effective FG%55.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-5.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–114.8), net efficiency (9.5–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.7), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Northern Arizona

53—58

Montana State

Montana State by 5 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATMontana State

22-61FG23-59

36.0%FG%39.0%

3-223PT6-23

14.0%3PT%26.0%

6-13FT6-12

46.0%FT%50.0%

40Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds3

7Assists8

12Turnovers9

5Steals5

1Blocks3

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	36	9-24	2-12	4-8	3	0	1	0	24
Carson Towt	F	39	5-10	0-0	2-5	17	3	0	1	12
Jayden Jackson	G	34	4-15	0-4	0-0	6	2	1	0	8
Oakland Fort	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Ali Ragab	Center	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Diego Campisano	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ryan Abelman	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Monty Bowser	G	26	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	0
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dillan Baker	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	20	7-14	0-1	3-8	7	0	1	1	17
Bryce Zephir	G	23	4-6	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	0	10
Tyler Patterson	Guard	25	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	13	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Jabe Mullins	Guard	27	1-7	0-3	2-2	7	1	1	1	4
Chika Nduka	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Sam Lecholat	Forward	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	3	0	1	3
Brian Goracke	Forward	19	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Patrick McMahon	G	14	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Jed Miller	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

74.1Offensive Efficiency81.1

81.1Defensive Efficiency74.1

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

38.5%Effective FG%44.1%

39.4%True Shooting %44.8%

16.6%Turnover Rate12.7%

21.3%Free Throw Rate20.3%

36.1%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.58Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Montana State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.