UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%UC Santa Barbara

49.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -104

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 82

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal Poly

51.4MMH Power Index46.5

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.1Net Efficiency-3.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule1.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

68.5Tempo76.6

54.8%Effective FG%52.2%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate35.8%

4.8Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.0), recent form (2.4–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

75—72

Cal Poly

UC Santa Barbara by 3 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal Poly

27-56FG25-58

48.0%FG%43.0%

15-303PT8-32

50.0%3PT%25.0%

6-8FT14-17

75.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists13

14Turnovers10

4Steals10

2Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	32	8-12	6-9	0-0	4	6	2	0	22
Cole Anderson	Guard	29	6-11	6-9	0-0	3	1	0	1	18
Kenny Pohto	Forward	28	6-11	0-0	1-2	7	0	1	0	13
Max Murrell	Forward	27	4-8	2-5	2-2	3	3	0	0	12
Jason Fontenet II	G	33	2-6	0-1	0-1	6	1	1	0	4
Colin Smith	F	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	3
Ben Shtolzberg	G	16	0-1	0-1	3-3	2	2	0	0	3
Deuce Turner	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Ariel Bland	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	31	8-13	2-7	5-6	2	1	0	1	23
Peter Bandelj	G	23	5-7	2-3	6-6	9	3	0	0	18
Mac Riniker	Guard	31	2-6	1-3	2-3	3	2	5	1	7
Isaac Jessup	Guard	27	2-6	1-5	0-0	7	1	1	0	5
Cayden Ward	G	9	2-8	0-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Ethan Menzies	Forward	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Jarred Hyder	Guard	27	1-7	1-6	0-0	0	3	2	0	3
Guzman Vasilic	G	23	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Luka Tarlac	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

115.6Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency115.6

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

61.6%Effective FG%50.0%

62.7%True Shooting %54.5%

21.6%Turnover Rate15.4%

14.3%Free Throw Rate29.3%

53.6%3-Point Rate55.2%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.