Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Baylor

40.8%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -145

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 81

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreArizona State 79

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricArizona State

58.9MMH Power Index51

116.7Offensive Efficiency108.1

109.5Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.2Net Efficiency-2.8

4.0Strength of Schedule7.0

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

69.7Tempo70.6

54.4%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

5.1Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.1), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.9), net efficiency (7.2–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.0), free throw rate (40.2–34.8).

Final

Baylor

72—66

Arizona State

Baylor by 6 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATArizona State

25-58FG22-60

43.0%FG%37.0%

8-213PT7-24

38.0%3PT%29.0%

14-21FT15-22

67.0%FT%68.0%

43Rebounds35

15Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists11

16Turnovers11

6Steals3

3Blocks4

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	33	7-12	2-4	3-4	8	0	1	1	19
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	41	5-13	3-6	2-3	4	4	2	0	15
Josh Ojianwuna	F	39	6-6	0-0	0-2	17	0	1	1	12
Jayden Nunn	Guard	33	2-5	1-3	5-5	2	1	1	0	10
Robert Wright III	G	31	3-7	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	1	9
Jeremy Roach	Guard	38	2-11	1-6	2-5	2	2	1	0	7
Jason Asemota	F	10	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Freeman	Guard	37	8-19	2-6	4-6	4	1	1	2	22
Alston Mason	Guard	42	4-10	1-5	5-6	7	5	0	0	14
Basheer Jihad	Forward	38	3-8	1-1	3-4	5	4	0	0	10
Adam Miller	G	37	3-9	2-7	1-2	1	0	1	0	9
Jayden Quaintance	F	40	2-7	0-1	1-2	8	1	0	2	5
Joson Sanon	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Amier Ali	G	4	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

103.9Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency103.9

8.7Net Efficiency-8.7

50.0%Effective FG%42.5%

53.0%True Shooting %46.8%

23.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

36.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%

36.2%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Baylor won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.