Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.4%Cal State Northridge

18.6%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -438

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 86

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricCal State Bakersfield

50MMH Power Index32.2

107.3Offensive Efficiency100.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency112.6

2.1Net Efficiency-12.4

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

75.9Tempo73.0

51.0%Effective FG%46.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate43.8%

1.6Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–100.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.6), net efficiency (2.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (43.8–34.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

90—94

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 4 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

32-56FG28-51

57.0%FG%55.0%

4-163PT10-24

25.0%3PT%42.0%

22-33FT28-35

67.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds24

12Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists10

12Turnovers15

5Steals6

2Blocks2

25Fouls23

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mahmoud Fofana	F	35	8-9	0-1	8-11	5	1	3	1	24
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	29	9-14	2-5	1-2	4	0	1	0	21
Keonte Jones	G	23	3-7	0-1	5-7	9	5	0	1	11
PJ Fuller II	Guard	21	3-4	0-1	3-4	1	1	0	0	9
Scotty Washington	G	35	2-9	2-6	2-2	1	2	1	0	8
Grady Lewis	F	9	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Tyler Beard	Guard	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Jordan Brinson	G	19	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	3	0	0	1
Jalen Barbee	G	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	28	13-22	6-11	13-16	2	2	2	0	45
Jaden Alexander	G	23	5-7	1-3	5-7	2	2	0	0	16
Kadar Waller	G	27	3-4	0-0	5-5	1	2	2	0	11
Marvin McGhee III	G	31	3-6	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Marvin McGhee IV	G	16	2-3	2-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	8
Shakir Odunewu	C	19	2-3	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	0	5
Tom Mark	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
CJ Hardy	G	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Corey Stephenson	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	1	0
Gloire Goma	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

120.5Offensive Efficiency125.8

125.8Defensive Efficiency120.5

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

60.7%Effective FG%64.7%

62.8%True Shooting %69.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate19.3%

58.9%Free Throw Rate68.6%

28.6%3-Point Rate47.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.