UCF logo

UCF

21-12
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
4.5%UCF
95.5%Arizona
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArizona -21.0
PROJECTED TOTAL161.0
MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -2122
Arizona logo

Arizona

36-3
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreUCF 70
Projected Total161.0
Projected ScoreArizona 91

Team Comparison

57.1MMH Power Index79.9
113.3Offensive Efficiency120.3
110.0Defensive Efficiency96.9
3.3Net Efficiency23.4
6.6Strength of Schedule8.0
-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0
71.2Tempo71.6
53.0%Effective FG%55.0%
16.0%Turnover Rate15.1%
34.3%Offensive Rebound %37.8%
31.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%
2.4Average Margin16.8
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
11–0
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (120.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (96.9–110.0), net efficiency (23.4–3.3).
Final
UCF logo
UCF
80—88
Arizona logo
Arizona
Arizona by 8 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATArizona
30-78FG28-60
38.0%FG%47.0%
8-353PT9-23
23.0%3PT%39.0%
12-17FT23-29
71.0%FT%79.0%
42Rebounds41
20Offensive Rebounds11
15Assists16
9Turnovers14
5Steals5
3Blocks1
20Fouls16

Player Box Score

UCF
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Keyshawn HallF357-171-67-865210022
Darius JohnsonGuard377-193-101-152100018
Mikey WilliamsG183-60-23-41100009
Moustapha ThiamC304-80-00-210002008
Benny WilliamsForward103-41-10-12120007
Rokas JociusF102-31-11-12000006
Jordan Ivy-CurryGuard282-111-90-07200005
Dallan ColemanGuard191-71-50-04200003
Dior JohnsonG71-20-00-01100002
JJ TaylorF60-10-10-01100000
Arizona
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Caleb LoveGuard355-124-72-286000016
Anthony Dell'OrsoG272-52-39-933100015
Henri VeesaarC235-82-42-451000014
Tobe AwakaF165-70-11-150000011
KJ LewisG224-60-02-434110010
Jaden BradleyG353-80-23-46120009
Trey TownsendForward222-81-34-53100009
Carter BryantForward192-60-30-06000004
Conrad MartinezG10-00-00-00000000
Emmanuel StephenC00-00-00-00010000

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9
105.4Offensive Efficiency115.9
115.9Defensive Efficiency105.4
-10.5Net Efficiency10.5
43.6%Effective FG%54.2%
46.5%True Shooting %59.6%
12.0%Turnover Rate18.2%
21.8%Free Throw Rate48.3%
44.9%3-Point Rate38.3%
1.67Assist / Turnover1.14
Game Summary
Arizona won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.