Rider

4-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Rider

77.8%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNiagara -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENiagara -350

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRider 63

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNiagara 73

Team Comparison

RiderMetricNiagara

29.1MMH Power Index35.8

96.3Offensive Efficiency100.8

115.3Defensive Efficiency112.4

-19.0Net Efficiency-11.6

-0.9Strength of Schedule-0.8

-17.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

65.9Tempo63.4

43.4%Effective FG%50.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate18.8%

32.8%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

31.5%Free Throw Rate27.3%

-12.6Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–29.1), offensive efficiency (100.8–96.3), defensive efficiency (112.4–115.3), net efficiency (-11.6–-19.0).

Rider COUNTERS WITHball security (17.1–18.8), offensive rebounding (32.8–24.9), free throw rate (31.5–27.3).

Final

Rider

68—65

Niagara

Rider by 3 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RiderTEAM STATNiagara

22-52FG26-50

42.0%FG%52.0%

7-183PT7-19

39.0%3PT%37.0%

17-19FT6-10

89.0%FT%60.0%

31Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists15

10Turnovers11

8Steals5

2Blocks4

12Fouls18

Player Box Score

Rider

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
T.J. Weeks Jr.	Guard	38	6-10	4-7	2-2	2	0	2	0	18
Jay Alvarez	Forward	26	3-8	2-4	5-5	2	0	0	0	13
Stephen Byard	F	15	3-4	0-0	6-8	5	1	1	1	12
Tariq Ingraham	F	22	3-7	0-1	2-2	6	1	0	1	8
Zion Cruz	G	31	2-7	0-2	2-2	3	4	0	0	6
Ruben Rodriguez Jr.	G	30	3-9	0-2	0-0	6	6	3	0	6
Andre Young	Guard	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	3
Flash Burton	G	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Zocko Littleton Jr.	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alaaeddine Boutayeb	Center	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Smith	Forward	23	7-10	1-3	2-2	6	2	1	0	17
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	30	5-8	0-0	3-6	9	0	0	1	13
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	28	4-9	4-8	0-0	8	1	2	0	12
Zion Russell	G	27	5-6	1-1	0-0	1	6	1	2	11
Josiah Davis	G	23	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	1	4
Damondre McKnight	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Justin Page	G	27	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jahari Williamson	G	17	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Will Shortt	F	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Jaeden Marshall	G	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency103.3

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.1

4.8Net Efficiency-4.8

49.0%Effective FG%59.0%

55.7%True Shooting %59.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate20.0%

34.6%3-Point Rate38.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Rider won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.