Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%Saint Francis

75.6%Fairleigh Dickinson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairleigh Dickinson -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINEFairleigh Dickinson -310

Fairleigh Dickinson

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 68

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreFairleigh Dickinson 77

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricFairleigh Dickinson

32.7MMH Power Index38.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

114.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

-13.5Net Efficiency-4.6

-2.3Strength of Schedule-5.8

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

70.6Tempo64.7

49.8%Effective FG%48.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

31.2%Free Throw Rate33.1%

-9.5Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairleigh Dickinson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairleigh Dickinson holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.3–32.7), offensive efficiency (103.8–101.2), defensive efficiency (108.4–114.7), net efficiency (-4.6–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-5.8), shooting efficiency (49.8–48.6).

Final

Saint Francis

75—71

Fairleigh Dickinson

Saint Francis by 4 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATFairleigh Dickinson

29-56FG21-65

52.0%FG%32.0%

9-213PT6-30

43.0%3PT%20.0%

8-11FT23-32

73.0%FT%72.0%

38Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds17

15Assists11

17Turnovers5

2Steals8

5Blocks1

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Parker	G	22	7-10	3-3	1-1	1	0	0	0	18
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	25	5-8	1-2	3-4	5	3	0	0	14
Jeremy Clayville	G	35	5-9	3-6	0-0	1	4	0	0	13
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	33	4-13	1-5	0-0	6	2	1	2	9
Daemar Kelly	G	30	4-10	1-5	0-0	5	2	1	3	9
Valentino Pinedo	F	25	3-4	0-0	1-2	8	2	0	0	7
Victor Payne	G	12	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	3
Aidan Harris	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Miles Webb	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Fairleigh Dickinson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jo'el Emanuel	F	40	6-15	2-6	10-14	10	2	2	0	24
Terrence Brown	G	32	5-13	0-3	5-5	3	0	1	0	15
Dylan Jones	G	23	5-13	3-11	2-2	0	0	0	0	15
Ahmed Barba-Bey	Guard	29	2-8	1-6	2-3	6	2	2	1	7
Brayden Reynolds	Guard	25	2-4	0-1	2-4	5	2	0	0	6
Cameron Tweedy	F	14	1-5	0-0	1-2	7	2	2	0	3
Bismark Nsiah	Forward	18	0-3	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	0	1
Jameel Morris	PG	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jake Warren	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

108.4Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency108.4

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

59.8%Effective FG%36.9%

61.2%True Shooting %44.3%

24.2%Turnover Rate7.3%

19.6%Free Throw Rate49.2%

37.5%3-Point Rate46.2%

0.88Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Saint Francis won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.