Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%Fairfield

64.8%Marist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarist -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMarist -184

Marist

19-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 67

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreMarist 72

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricMarist

50.1MMH Power Index51

109.6Offensive Efficiency104.3

105.4Defensive Efficiency95.6

4.2Net Efficiency8.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.2

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.9

67.8Tempo66.8

49.1%Effective FG%49.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate26.1%

2.8Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–50.1), defensive efficiency (95.6–105.4), net efficiency (8.7–4.2), strength of schedule (-3.2–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–104.3), recent form (3.3–2.9), ball security (15.0–16.8).

Final

Fairfield

51—61

Marist

Marist by 10 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATMarist

19-52FG26-52

37.0%FG%50.0%

10-203PT4-18

50.0%3PT%22.0%

3-6FT5-6

50.0%FT%83.0%

26Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists12

10Turnovers9

3Steals7

—Blocks7

13Fouls8

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jamie Bergens	Guard	33	5-11	3-4	3-4	4	1	1	16
Braden Sparks	G	31	4-11	2-4	0-0	5	2	1	10
Michael Rogan	G	34	3-11	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	8
Deon Perry	Guard	24	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	5
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	23	1-5	1-5	0-0	0	1	0	3
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	16	1-2	1-2	0-2	1	0	1	3
Peyton Smith	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Birima Seck	Forward	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Makuei Riek	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Price	Forward	25	6-10	0-4	0-0	6	4	1	2	12
Josh Pascarelli	G	34	4-10	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	1	11
Elijah Lewis	G	32	3-13	1-4	4-4	5	2	1	2	11
Jaden Daughtry	F	28	5-7	0-2	1-2	3	1	2	1	11
Jadin Collins-Roberts	G	35	3-5	0-0	0-0	7	4	3	0	6
Jason Schofield	C	10	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Trace Salton	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Tarik Watson	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Martin Kawa	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Travis Roberts	SG	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4

85.9Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency85.9

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

46.2%Effective FG%53.8%

46.5%True Shooting %55.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

11.5%Free Throw Rate11.5%

38.5%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Marist won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.