Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Mercer

59.5%Western Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -147

Western Carolina

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 79

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 81

Team Comparison

MercerMetricWestern Carolina

54.1MMH Power Index53

116.6Offensive Efficiency112.6

106.5Defensive Efficiency111.0

10.1Net Efficiency1.6

-4.4Strength of Schedule-0.9

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency13.1

70.9Tempo69.7

53.8%Effective FG%51.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %36.1%

38.9%Free Throw Rate30.8%

7.2Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (116.6–112.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–111.0), net efficiency (10.1–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-4.4), recent form (13.1–1.2), offensive rebounding (36.1–33.6).

Final

Mercer

82—85

Western Carolina

Western Carolina by 3 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATWestern Carolina

27-71FG29-62

38.0%FG%47.0%

7-263PT11-34

27.0%3PT%32.0%

21-34FT16-20

62.0%FT%80.0%

48Rebounds40

19Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists14

8Turnovers11

3Steals5

1Blocks4

17Fouls23

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Holt	Forward	25	7-11	0-0	7-9	11	2	0	0	21
Ahmad Robinson	G	34	7-19	1-4	3-11	13	2	1	0	18
Tyler Johnson	Guard	31	4-13	2-10	4-4	4	3	0	0	14
Jah Nze	Guard	18	4-7	1-3	4-6	3	1	0	1	13
Jah Quinones	Guard	16	2-9	1-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	7
Cam Bryant	Forward	31	1-7	1-5	1-2	3	0	0	0	4
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	22	1-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	3
Brady Shoulders	G	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	2

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cord Stansberry	G	32	5-9	3-5	4-5	3	2	1	0	17
Chevalier Emery	G	24	5-9	4-8	2-2	2	1	1	0	16
Brandon Morgan	G	28	4-11	0-4	5-6	5	3	1	0	13
Bernard Pelote	Forward	31	4-10	2-5	0-0	10	0	0	2	10
CJ Hyland	G	25	4-8	1-4	0-0	2	4	0	0	9
Marcus Kell	F	18	2-6	0-4	3-5	3	1	0	0	7
Fischer Brown	G	11	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Vernon Collins	F	20	1-2	0-0	2-2	7	2	2	1	4
Chase McKey	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

108.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency108.0

-4.0Net Efficiency4.0

43.0%Effective FG%55.6%

47.0%True Shooting %59.4%

10.5%Turnover Rate14.6%

47.9%Free Throw Rate32.3%

36.6%3-Point Rate54.8%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.