Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Villanova

35.6%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -181

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 80

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreXavier 76

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricXavier

59.4MMH Power Index49.5

114.7Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

8.8Net Efficiency-3.2

4.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

67.3Tempo71.7

53.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

31.4%Free Throw Rate28.9%

5.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–112.4), net efficiency (8.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.4), ball security (13.9–15.0).

Final

Villanova

63—69

Xavier

Xavier by 6 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATXavier

22-51FG20-49

43.0%FG%41.0%

8-213PT10-25

38.0%3PT%40.0%

11-14FT19-26

79.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds28

8Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists16

14Turnovers11

5Steals6

3Blocks2

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	37	6-16	3-5	3-4	4	2	0	1	18
Jordan Longino	Guard	37	7-12	3-5	1-2	2	1	2	0	18
Wooga Poplar	Guard	36	3-6	1-3	7-8	5	3	2	0	14
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	24	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	5	1	0	7
Enoch Boakye	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	1	4
Kris Parker	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tyler Perkins	G	17	0-5	0-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Josiah Moseley	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	31	8-13	6-10	12-14	3	4	2	0	34
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	39	3-8	2-4	2-4	3	4	2	0	10
Zach Freemantle	Forward	36	3-10	0-3	4-6	9	3	0	0	10
Dailyn Swain	G	34	3-6	0-1	0-1	5	1	0	1	6
Marcus Foster	Guard	22	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Jerome Hunter	Forward	22	1-4	0-1	1-1	2	2	2	1	3
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
John Hugley IV	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

97.5Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency97.5

-9.3Net Efficiency9.3

51.0%Effective FG%51.0%

54.6%True Shooting %56.2%

22.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.5%Free Throw Rate53.1%

41.2%3-Point Rate51.0%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Xavier won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.