Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Saint Louis

59.8%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -149

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreVCU 80

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricVCU

66.7MMH Power Index65.7

120.8Offensive Efficiency116.4

97.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

23.2Net Efficiency13.1

0.3Strength of Schedule5.4

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

72.2Tempo69.5

59.9%Effective FG%53.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

33.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

16.8Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–116.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.3), net efficiency (23.2–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–0.3), recent form (6.0–0.1), ball security (15.1–17.1).

Final

Saint Louis

62—78

VCU

VCU by 16 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATVCU

17-37FG30-72

46.0%FG%42.0%

9-233PT10-33

39.0%3PT%30.0%

19-23FT8-10

83.0%FT%80.0%

26Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds22

10Assists18

19Turnovers10

9Steals14

5Blocks2

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	38	5-10	4-8	4-4	3	3	3	0	18
Robbie Avila	C	33	3-4	2-2	10-12	8	2	3	1	18
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	4-12	2-10	1-1	3	1	1	0	11
Kobe Johnson	Guard	33	2-3	1-2	2-2	4	2	1	0	7
Kalu Anya	F	27	3-6	0-0	0-2	5	2	1	3	6
Kilian Brockhoff	F	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kellen Thames	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Dylan Warlick	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Bamisile	Guard	30	8-17	4-9	3-3	3	3	1	1	23
Jack Clark	Forward	34	5-9	2-5	0-0	4	5	1	0	12
Max Shulga	Guard	32	4-10	1-4	2-2	3	9	4	0	11
Brandon Jennings	G	14	4-6	2-3	0-0	6	0	2	1	10
Christian Fermin	F	24	4-7	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	8
Phillip Russell	Guard	24	2-9	1-7	1-1	1	1	4	0	6
Michael Belle	F	6	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	6
Zeb Jackson	Guard	22	0-8	0-5	2-2	5	0	2	0	2
Luke Bamgboye	F	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

97.0Offensive Efficiency122.1

122.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

-25.0Net Efficiency25.0

58.1%Effective FG%48.6%

64.7%True Shooting %50.8%

30.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

62.2%Free Throw Rate13.9%

62.2%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

VCU won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.