Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%Toledo

78.4%Akron

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAkron -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAkron -363

Akron

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 77

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreAkron 87

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricAkron

58.8MMH Power Index65.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency122.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

6.4Net Efficiency19.4

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.8

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency16.0

69.8Tempo71.6

55.1%Effective FG%58.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

30.3%Free Throw Rate28.9%

4.5Average Margin13.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Akron HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAkron holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–58.8), offensive efficiency (122.7–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.6), net efficiency (19.4–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.3–-2.8), ball security (14.6–15.2), free throw rate (30.3–28.9).

Final

Toledo

78—85

Akron

Akron by 7 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATAkron

24-64FG35-75

38.0%FG%47.0%

5-183PT9-29

28.0%3PT%31.0%

25-31FT6-9

81.0%FT%67.0%

39Rebounds47

14Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists21

8Turnovers9

4Steals6

2Blocks5

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Adams	Guard	34	6-13	1-4	4-4	4	2	0	2	17
Javan Simmons	F	28	5-10	0-0	5-6	8	1	1	0	15
Sam Lewis	G	28	4-10	2-4	4-5	4	0	0	0	14
Sonny Wilson	G	34	2-10	0-1	5-8	10	5	1	0	9
Grgur Brcic	C	12	3-4	0-0	3-4	2	0	1	0	9
Bryce Ford	G	28	2-7	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	16	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Seth Hubbard	G	18	0-5	0-3	4-4	3	0	1	0	4
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Akron

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Johnson	G	35	12-23	1-7	3-3	9	4	4	1	28
Amani Lyles	F	19	7-9	1-3	1-2	5	2	1	2	16
Shammah Scott	G	27	5-9	2-5	0-1	3	1	1	1	12
Seth Wilson	Guard	21	3-7	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Marvin Musiime-Kamali	G	11	4-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	8
Tavari Johnson	G	24	1-6	1-2	0-0	2	9	0	0	3
Bowen Hardman	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Gray	Guard	22	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Sharron Young	G	16	0-4	0-2	2-2	2	4	0	0	2
James Okonkwo	F	15	1-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

108.3Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency108.3

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

41.4%Effective FG%52.7%

49.5%True Shooting %53.6%

11.0%Turnover Rate12.6%

48.4%Free Throw Rate12.0%

28.1%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.13Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Akron won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.