Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Ball State

77.8%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -350

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 70

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreOhio 78

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricOhio

41.3MMH Power Index48

101.7Offensive Efficiency109.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency110.7

-3.0Net Efficiency-1.0

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

66.4Tempo71.0

48.3%Effective FG%52.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

33.0%Free Throw Rate37.8%

-2.0Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (109.7–101.7), net efficiency (-1.0–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–110.7), recent form (-0.9–-1.0).

Final

Ball State

71—86

Ohio

Ohio by 15 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATOhio

24-56FG34-62

43.0%FG%55.0%

10-203PT8-22

50.0%3PT%36.0%

13-19FT10-16

68.0%FT%63.0%

34Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists15

15Turnovers5

1Steals11

2Blocks5

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	33	6-13	3-6	4-4	6	3	0	0	19
Fatt Hill	G	33	3-11	2-2	6-10	5	3	1	1	14
Payton Sparks	Center	27	4-8	0-0	0-2	12	3	0	1	8
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	26	3-5	1-2	1-1	0	1	0	0	8
Juanse Gorosito	G	24	3-7	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Mason Jones	F	8	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Joey Hart	G	19	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Ben Hendriks	Center	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	32	6-13	0-4	3-3	5	6	1	0	15
Aidan Hadaway	F	29	5-9	3-5	2-2	5	2	1	1	15
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	25	5-7	0-0	2-3	2	3	4	0	12
AJ Brown	G	18	5-6	2-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	12
Vic Searls	Forward	18	4-7	0-2	1-4	4	0	1	2	9
Ajay Sheldon	G	14	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
AJ Clayton	Forward	30	3-6	0-2	1-2	4	1	1	2	7
Elmore James IV	G	24	2-5	1-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	6
Elijah Elliott	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Ayden Evans	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

105.5Offensive Efficiency127.8

127.8Defensive Efficiency105.5

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

51.8%Effective FG%61.3%

54.6%True Shooting %61.8%

22.1%Turnover Rate7.5%

33.9%Free Throw Rate25.8%

35.7%3-Point Rate35.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Ohio won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.