Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%Valparaiso

86.2%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -625

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 69

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreBelmont 83

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricBelmont

49.9MMH Power Index61.8

106.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

105.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

0.8Net Efficiency14.9

0.3Strength of Schedule-0.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.5Tempo70.7

48.7%Effective FG%60.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

40.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

0.5Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–49.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–106.6), defensive efficiency (103.7–105.8), net efficiency (14.9–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-0.2), ball security (15.6–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.8).

Final

Valparaiso

64—71

Belmont

Belmont by 7 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATBelmont

24-66FG22-61

36.0%FG%36.0%

9-293PT6-30

31.0%3PT%20.0%

7-9FT21-30

78.0%FT%70.0%

47Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists12

17Turnovers12

8Steals12

6Blocks5

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justus McNair	G	25	6-11	5-9	2-4	3	1	3	2	19
Cooper Schwieger	F	37	5-10	0-1	2-2	15	2	2	3	12
Isaiah Shaw	G	19	5-10	2-5	0-0	6	0	0	0	12
All Wright	G	29	3-14	1-6	3-3	2	2	0	0	10
Tyler Schmidt	G	25	3-12	0-4	0-0	3	3	3	0	6
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	29	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Kaspar Sepp	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Devon Ellis	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Lundblade	G	30	4-12	3-9	6-6	5	0	0	1	17
Isaiah Walker	G	38	5-8	1-3	2-4	9	1	1	1	13
Carter Whitt	Guard	31	3-9	0-2	4-6	5	2	4	0	10
Brigham Rogers	F	17	4-5	0-1	2-3	3	0	2	1	10
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	29	2-11	0-6	5-7	4	7	2	1	9
Aidan Noyes	F	15	3-6	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Sam Orme	F	24	1-6	1-4	1-2	7	1	1	1	4
Brody Peebles	Guard	12	0-3	0-1	1-2	0	1	2	0	1
Win Miller	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

85.6Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency85.6

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

43.2%Effective FG%41.0%

45.5%True Shooting %47.2%

23.2%Turnover Rate15.7%

13.6%Free Throw Rate49.2%

43.9%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.65Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Belmont won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.