Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Little Rock

79.5%Southeast Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSoutheast Missouri State -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINESoutheast Missouri State -388

Southeast Missouri State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 68

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 78

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricSoutheast Missouri State

44MMH Power Index51.6

103.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

108.2Defensive Efficiency99.8

-5.2Net Efficiency5.5

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.5Tempo70.8

50.3%Effective FG%50.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate39.3%

-3.6Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southeast Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSoutheast Missouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–44.0), offensive efficiency (105.3–103.0), defensive efficiency (99.8–108.2), net efficiency (5.5–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Little Rock

73—71

Southeast Missouri State

Little Rock by 2 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATSoutheast Missouri State

24-49FG21-59

49.0%FG%36.0%

7-153PT6-20

47.0%3PT%30.0%

18-21FT23-32

86.0%FT%72.0%

30Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists12

17Turnovers10

6Steals12

4Blocks4

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	39	8-13	5-7	7-8	7	2	0	0	28
Isaiah Lewis	G	36	6-13	1-3	4-4	3	1	2	0	17
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	31	4-6	0-0	3-5	7	2	2	0	11
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	32	2-7	1-5	4-4	3	0	0	1	9
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	6
Ante Beljan	F	29	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	5	2	0	2
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	0
Christian Hughes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Martin	G	29	6-13	2-6	5-6	3	4	2	0	19
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	34	3-14	2-8	4-5	3	4	3	2	12
Brendan Terry	F	31	4-8	0-0	4-5	5	0	2	1	12
Marqueas Bell	G	19	3-7	0-0	4-4	3	0	1	0	10
Braxton Stacker	G	27	2-7	0-2	4-6	7	3	2	1	8
BJ Ward	G	26	2-6	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Troy Cole Jr.	G	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
David Idada	C	10	0-0	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Elliot Lowndes	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

104.1Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.3Defensive Efficiency104.1

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

56.1%Effective FG%40.7%

61.9%True Shooting %47.8%

24.3%Turnover Rate14.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate54.2%

30.6%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.