Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.4%Arkansas

23.6%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL171.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -324

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 89

Projected Total171.3

Projected ScoreLSU 83

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricLSU

69.3MMH Power Index54.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

109.8Defensive Efficiency111.3

12.4Net Efficiency4.2

8.6Strength of Schedule4.5

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

73.8Tempo70.5

56.4%Effective FG%53.4%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate41.9%

9.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.3), net efficiency (12.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–31.8), free throw rate (41.9–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

74—78

LSU

LSU by 4 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATLSU

27-69FG22-55

39.0%FG%40.0%

9-203PT8-22

45.0%3PT%36.0%

11-13FT26-28

85.0%FT%93.0%

37Rebounds39

17Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

12Turnovers15

6Steals8

6Blocks11

19Fouls11

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Fland	G	38	6-17	3-5	4-4	1	5	1	0	19
Adou Thiero	Forward	33	4-11	0-1	5-6	10	2	2	1	13
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	30	6-13	0-3	0-1	10	1	0	4	12
D.J. Wagner	G	33	3-6	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
Johnell Davis	Guard	28	4-8	2-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	10
Trevon Brazile	F	10	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	6
Karter Knox	G	11	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Billy Richmond III	G	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Carter	Guard	36	7-15	3-6	10-10	4	2	1	1	27
Jordan Sears	Guard	28	5-13	3-8	4-4	0	3	2	0	17
Dji Bailey	Guard	24	4-7	0-1	0-0	9	0	0	1	8
Mike Williams	G	17	2-2	1-1	3-4	2	2	1	1	8
Daimion Collins	F	30	2-2	0-0	3-4	10	1	1	4	7
Derek Fountain	Forward	26	0-7	0-3	6-6	5	2	3	0	6
Curtis Givens III	G	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Corey Chest	F	14	1-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	3	2
Robert Miller III	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

104.5Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency104.5

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

45.7%Effective FG%47.3%

49.2%True Shooting %57.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate21.0%

18.8%Free Throw Rate50.9%

29.0%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

LSU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.