Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.9%Iowa

22.1%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -352

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 79

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreUSC 72

Team Comparison

IowaMetricUSC

64.2MMH Power Index48.3

118.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

105.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

13.2Net Efficiency0.9

5.3Strength of Schedule2.5

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

63.0Tempo72.4

56.6%Effective FG%50.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

8.3Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–48.3), offensive efficiency (118.4–108.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.6), net efficiency (13.2–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–30.2), free throw rate (45.3–36.2).

Final

Iowa

89—99

USC

USC by 10 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATUSC

32-60FG37-57

53.0%FG%65.0%

11-243PT10-15

46.0%3PT%67.0%

14-19FT15-25

74.0%FT%60.0%

20Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds9

20Assists27

9Turnovers12

8Steals4

3Blocks2

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Freeman	F	33	11-14	1-1	0-1	6	0	1	2	23
Payton Sandfort	Forward	35	6-11	4-9	4-6	3	4	1	1	20
Drew Thelwell	Guard	33	4-10	2-3	6-6	1	3	1	0	16
Josh Dix	G	33	5-10	2-6	1-3	2	2	1	0	13
Brock Harding	G	25	3-7	1-3	1-1	0	8	3	0	8
Pryce Sandfort	F	23	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Seydou Traore	F	7	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Ladji Dembele	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Chris Tadjo	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	40	7-16	1-2	10-12	8	9	0	1	25
Saint Thomas	Forward	37	9-10	3-4	3-4	9	7	0	0	24
Wesley Yates III	G	40	8-11	4-5	1-4	0	4	1	0	21
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	38	8-11	2-4	0-1	4	2	1	0	18
Rashaun Agee	F	29	4-5	0-0	1-4	10	1	0	1	9
Josh Cohen	Forward	11	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	2	0	2
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

121.9Offensive Efficiency135.6

135.6Defensive Efficiency121.9

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

62.5%Effective FG%73.7%

64.5%True Shooting %71.9%

12.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.7%Free Throw Rate43.9%

40.0%3-Point Rate26.3%

2.22Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

USC won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.