Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Colorado State

73.7%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -280

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricSan Diego State

55.4MMH Power Index60.1

117.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency99.3

7.2Net Efficiency11.0

0.4Strength of Schedule3.8

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

64.7Tempo70.8

58.6%Effective FG%53.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.6Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

Colorado State

60—75

San Diego State

San Diego State by 15 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

20-47FG25-56

43.0%FG%45.0%

9-283PT9-25

32.0%3PT%36.0%

11-15FT16-26

73.0%FT%62.0%

32Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists11

20Turnovers10

2Steals11

—Blocks3

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jalen Lake	Guard	30	5-9	3-6	2-2	4	1	1	15
Kyan Evans	G	30	5-7	4-6	0-1	3	2	0	14
Nique Clifford	Guard	39	5-16	1-8	0-2	6	2	0	11
Rashaan Mbemba	F	26	3-5	0-1	5-6	5	1	0	11
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	24	2-4	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	7
Kyle Jorgensen	F	14	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	2
Keshawn Williams	G	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0
Ethan Morton	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Bowen Born	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	33	8-15	5-9	4-4	6	1	7	1	25
BJ Davis	G	24	3-9	2-6	4-4	3	0	0	0	12
Magoon Gwath	F	29	3-7	0-1	3-5	7	0	1	1	9
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	18	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Pharaoh Compton	F	12	4-4	0-0	0-7	3	0	1	0	8
Nick Boyd	G	27	1-4	0-2	5-6	0	3	1	0	7
Kimo Ferrari	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Miles Heide	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Taj DeGourville	G	15	0-6	0-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

89.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency89.2

-22.3Net Efficiency22.3

52.1%Effective FG%52.7%

55.4%True Shooting %54.9%

30.2%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.9%Free Throw Rate46.4%

59.6%3-Point Rate44.6%

0.45Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.