UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%UCF

45.7%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -119

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 81

Projected Total160.5

Projected ScoreArizona State 80

Team Comparison

UCFMetricArizona State

57.1MMH Power Index51

113.3Offensive Efficiency108.1

110.0Defensive Efficiency110.9

3.3Net Efficiency-2.8

6.6Strength of Schedule7.0

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

71.2Tempo70.6

53.0%Effective FG%51.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.1%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate40.2%

2.4Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–51.0), offensive efficiency (113.3–108.1), defensive efficiency (110.0–110.9), net efficiency (3.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–6.6), free throw rate (40.2–31.1).

Final

UCF

95—89

Arizona State

UCF by 6 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATArizona State

33-65FG30-57

51.0%FG%53.0%

12-263PT12-24

46.0%3PT%50.0%

17-21FT17-26

81.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists19

12Turnovers14

7Steals5

2Blocks7

22Fouls23

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	32	13-18	4-6	10-10	7	6	1	0	40
Darius Johnson	Guard	36	6-13	2-6	3-5	1	7	2	1	17
JJ Taylor	F	28	6-11	2-4	0-1	9	1	0	0	14
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	30	3-10	2-6	0-0	2	3	3	0	8
Dallan Coleman	Guard	23	2-4	2-2	0-0	8	0	1	0	6
Benny Williams	Forward	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Mikey Williams	G	10	0-1	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Rokas Jocius	F	21	1-2	0-1	0-1	0	1	0	0	2
Dior Johnson	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Freeman	Guard	36	8-14	5-6	5-6	4	3	0	1	26
Jayden Quaintance	F	36	8-11	0-2	4-7	7	1	0	5	20
Alston Mason	Guard	37	5-12	3-5	2-5	4	5	2	0	15
Adam Miller	G	34	3-7	3-6	1-2	2	4	0	0	10
Basheer Jihad	Forward	27	3-7	0-2	2-2	10	5	1	0	8
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	15	2-3	0-0	3-4	1	1	1	1	7
Amier Ali	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

128.0Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency128.0

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

60.0%Effective FG%63.2%

63.4%True Shooting %64.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate18.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate45.6%

40.0%3-Point Rate42.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

UCF won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.