Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Lafayette

54.9%Army

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArmy -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEArmy -122

Army

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 73

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreArmy 75

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricArmy

39.6MMH Power Index36.8

102.9Offensive Efficiency104.8

110.3Defensive Efficiency112.1

-7.4Net Efficiency-7.3

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.3

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.6

67.5Tempo68.9

49.4%Effective FG%49.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate26.5%

-5.0Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–36.8), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.1), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.3), recent form (-6.4–-10.6).

Army COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.8–102.9), net efficiency (-7.3–-7.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Lafayette

68—70

Army

Army by 2 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATArmy

26-48FG27-56

54.0%FG%48.0%

9-193PT10-26

47.0%3PT%38.0%

7-10FT6-10

70.0%FT%60.0%

27Rebounds26

6Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists12

15Turnovers10

3Steals10

6Blocks4

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	35	8-13	0-1	1-2	3	2	1	5	17
Caleb Williams	G	35	5-11	3-7	0-0	2	3	0	0	13
Andrew Phillips	G	33	4-7	4-5	0-0	6	5	0	0	12
Alex Chaikin	G	30	4-6	1-1	3-3	7	1	0	0	12
Mark Butler	G	32	3-4	0-0	3-5	0	2	1	0	9
Luka Savicevic	G	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Ryan Pettit	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Malik Rasul	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Misha Bednostin	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
TJ Berger	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Army

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Rucker	Guard	36	12-18	3-7	2-2	4	1	2	1	29
Ryan Curry	G	36	5-11	4-9	0-0	2	2	2	0	14
Josh Scovens	G	36	4-9	0-1	3-6	4	3	3	2	11
AJ Allenspach	Forward	28	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	4
Blake Barker	Guard	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Jorn Everson	F	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tate Laczkowski	F	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Caldwell	Guard	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Kendall Hailey	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Kevin McCarthy	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacen Holloway	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

109.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

63.5%Effective FG%57.1%

64.5%True Shooting %57.6%

24.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

20.8%Free Throw Rate17.9%

39.6%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Army won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.