California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%California

81.4%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -438

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 72

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 82

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricNorth Carolina

56.5MMH Power Index65.2

111.8Offensive Efficiency115.5

104.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

7.0Net Efficiency11.7

2.8Strength of Schedule7.6

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.9Tempo69.0

52.6%Effective FG%54.6%

14.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate38.1%

4.9Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–56.5), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.8), defensive efficiency (103.8–104.8), net efficiency (11.7–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.8–-1.8).

Final

California

53—79

North Carolina

North Carolina by 26 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATNorth Carolina

24-69FG31-65

35.0%FG%48.0%

3-253PT5-14

12.0%3PT%36.0%

2-5FT12-13

40.0%FT%92.0%

33Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists9

13Turnovers10

7Steals7

3Blocks4

9Fouls10

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mady Sissoko	Center	24	8-9	0-0	0-0	8	2	0	0	16
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	22	4-8	1-4	1-1	3	0	0	0	10
Andrej Stojakovic	G	32	3-13	0-5	0-0	5	4	2	0	6
DeJuan Campbell	G	26	3-8	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	1	6
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	29	2-12	1-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Christian Tucker	Guard	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Rytis Petraitis	F	18	1-5	0-2	1-4	6	1	1	0	3
Lee Dort	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	2	2
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	18	0-8	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Devin Curtis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Spencer Mahoney	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Desler	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Vladimir Pavlovic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack McCloskey	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Jackson	G	33	8-15	1-4	3-3	7	1	1	0	20
Elliot Cadeau	G	30	7-15	1-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	15
Seth Trimble	G	25	3-8	0-2	6-6	6	0	3	0	12
RJ Davis	Guard	30	2-9	1-4	2-2	5	3	0	0	7
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	16	3-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	3	7
Jalen Washington	C	20	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	1	6
Drake Powell	Guard	21	2-5	1-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	5
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Cade Tyson	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
James Brown	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
John Holbrook	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dante Mayo Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Russell Hawkins	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

73.8Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency73.8

-36.2Net Efficiency36.2

37.0%Effective FG%51.5%

37.1%True Shooting %55.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.3%

7.2%Free Throw Rate20.0%

36.2%3-Point Rate21.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.