NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%NC State

56.0%Virginia Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia Tech -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia Tech -127

Virginia Tech

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 81

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricVirginia Tech

60.1MMH Power Index57.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency112.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency107.2

9.8Net Efficiency5.6

6.4Strength of Schedule5.8

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

70.2Tempo69.8

55.1%Effective FG%52.3%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate34.7%

6.9Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.8), net efficiency (9.8–5.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.8).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–108.6), recent form (-3.9–-11.9), offensive rebounding (31.1–28.2).

Final

NC State

76—79

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech by 3 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATVirginia Tech

27-54FG27-59

50.0%FG%46.0%

8-193PT11-22

42.0%3PT%50.0%

14-17FT14-17

82.0%FT%82.0%

24Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists11

8Turnovers12

7Steals5

1Blocks2

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	32	6-14	3-10	2-2	2	3	1	0	17
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	27	4-7	0-0	5-6	2	1	3	0	13
Marcus Hill	G	35	5-13	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	0	12
Dontrez Styles	Guard	23	3-6	2-3	1-2	5	0	0	0	9
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	17	3-4	1-2	1-2	4	1	1	1	8
Ismael Diouf	F	13	3-4	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	7
Michael O'Connell	Guard	25	1-3	1-3	2-2	2	5	1	0	5
Bryce Heard	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Breon Pass	Guard	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	4	1	0	0
Trey Parker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tobi Lawal	F	30	7-10	3-3	5-6	11	2	1	2	22
Jaden Schutt	G	28	6-10	3-6	2-2	5	2	0	0	17
Ben Burnham	Forward	27	4-11	1-2	3-3	5	1	2	0	12
Jaydon Young	G	22	3-9	1-5	1-1	1	4	1	0	8
Tyler Johnson	G	30	2-4	1-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Patrick Wessler	F	8	2-3	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	0	5
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	28	1-5	1-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	4
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	12	1-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Connor Serven	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

120.4Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency120.4

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

57.4%Effective FG%55.1%

61.2%True Shooting %58.9%

12.9%Turnover Rate18.7%

31.5%Free Throw Rate28.8%

35.2%3-Point Rate37.3%

2.13Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Virginia Tech won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.