Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Southern Illinois

53.0%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -113

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreMissouri State 74

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricMissouri State

54.6MMH Power Index51.1

103.4Offensive Efficiency110.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.9Net Efficiency2.1

1.6Strength of Schedule0.5

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

70.6Tempo67.9

49.5%Effective FG%51.8%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

32.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.4Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–51.1), defensive efficiency (98.5–108.4), net efficiency (4.9–2.1), strength of schedule (1.6–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–103.4), shooting efficiency (51.8–49.5), ball security (16.4–17.0).

Final

Southern Illinois

73—51

Missouri State

Southern Illinois by 22 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATMissouri State

27-50FG18-56

54.0%FG%32.0%

9-173PT4-18

53.0%3PT%22.0%

10-15FT11-16

67.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists10

16Turnovers14

7Steals5

7Blocks2

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	36	8-15	0-2	6-6	7	3	0	0	22
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	37	6-13	3-7	3-4	8	2	1	0	18
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	29	7-10	4-5	0-2	2	1	1	2	18
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	32	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	6	3	2	4
Drew Steffe	G	31	1-4	1-2	1-2	6	4	1	1	4
Sheridan Sharp	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Davion Sykes	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	1	2
Jorge Moreno	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Rolyns Aligbe	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Antwaun Massey	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	31	7-11	0-0	3-4	9	0	0	2	17
Jalen Hampton	G	27	5-8	0-0	4-5	5	1	1	0	14
Zaxton King	G	32	2-10	1-6	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Logan Epes	G	20	1-6	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Wesley Oba	Forward	12	1-1	1-1	1-3	1	0	2	0	4
Vincent Brady II	G	30	1-10	1-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Chase Martin	Guard	25	1-6	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	18	0-4	0-0	0-0	0	5	1	0	0
Allen Udemadu	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency78.0

78.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

33.6Net Efficiency-33.6

63.0%Effective FG%35.7%

63.9%True Shooting %40.1%

24.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

30.0%Free Throw Rate28.6%

34.0%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.06Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.