Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Northern Kentucky

20.7%Cleveland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -383

Cleveland State

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 89

Projected Total168.4

Projected ScoreCleveland State 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricCleveland State

53.9MMH Power Index37.3

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency120.2

7.8Net Efficiency-8.6

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.6

72.3Tempo71.5

54.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.0%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.7%

5.7Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–37.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–120.2), net efficiency (7.8–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.5), free throw rate (38.7–37.1).

Final

Northern Kentucky

58—76

Cleveland State

Cleveland State by 18 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATCleveland State

22-55FG30-62

40.0%FG%48.0%

5-183PT5-14

28.0%3PT%36.0%

9-13FT11-14

69.0%FT%79.0%

31Rebounds35

15Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists14

18Turnovers11

6Steals8

5Blocks5

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Vinson	Guard	35	6-11	1-3	4-6	2	1	1	0	17
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	6-17	0-3	4-5	5	1	3	1	16
Keeyan Itejere	F	34	5-10	0-0	1-2	14	2	1	3	11
Josh Dilling	Guard	30	2-7	2-6	0-0	0	5	0	0	6
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	29	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Randall Pettus II	G	25	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	1	2
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Evans	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahj Staveskie	G	40	8-17	4-10	0-0	2	0	0	0	20
Chase Robinson	Guard	28	4-9	0-1	5-6	3	3	2	0	13
Dylan Arnett	F	24	5-8	0-0	1-2	4	2	1	1	11
Reece Robinson	F	19	4-6	0-0	3-4	10	3	1	1	11
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	17	2-6	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	6
Ebrima Dibba	Guard	28	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	4	2	0	4
Tevin Smith	Guard	24	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
KJ Debrick	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	4
Isaac Abidde	F	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

90.6Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency90.6

-28.1Net Efficiency28.1

44.5%Effective FG%52.4%

47.4%True Shooting %55.4%

28.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

23.6%Free Throw Rate22.6%

32.7%3-Point Rate22.6%

0.72Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Cleveland State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.