Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Samford

62.5%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -167

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 77

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreMercer 83

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricMercer

54.1MMH Power Index54.1

113.5Offensive Efficiency116.6

108.3Defensive Efficiency106.5

5.2Net Efficiency10.1

-2.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

69.5Tempo70.9

54.0%Effective FG%53.8%

13.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

42.5%Free Throw Rate38.9%

3.6Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Samford

75—74

Mercer

Samford by 1 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATMercer

27-60FG23-61

45.0%FG%38.0%

5-203PT9-29

25.0%3PT%31.0%

16-27FT19-24

59.0%FT%79.0%

39Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists11

13Turnovers14

10Steals9

4Blocks3

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Brownell	F	25	6-12	2-6	4-5	4	1	0	1	18
Rylan Jones	Guard	36	4-12	0-3	3-6	5	5	3	0	11
Collin Holloway	Forward	29	3-8	1-2	4-7	8	1	1	1	11
Trey Fort	G	29	3-7	0-2	1-2	5	1	1	1	7
Hamed Olayinka	F	16	3-4	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	1	7
Josh Holloway	G	15	2-5	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	5
Riley Allenspach	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Zion Wilburn	G	3	1-2	0-0	2-3	1	0	1	0	4
Lukas Walls	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah West	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	3	0	3
Julian Brown	Guard	15	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Paulie Stramaglia	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Robinson	G	38	7-14	3-8	12-14	9	4	5	1	29
Tyler Johnson	Guard	35	7-17	5-10	1-1	3	2	2	0	20
Alex Holt	Forward	34	5-10	0-0	3-4	12	1	0	1	13
Brady Shoulders	G	30	3-3	1-1	3-5	11	0	1	0	10
Cam Bryant	Forward	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Jah Quinones	Guard	19	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jah Nze	Guard	7	0-5	0-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

102.6Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency102.6

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

49.2%Effective FG%45.1%

51.5%True Shooting %51.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.3%

45.0%Free Throw Rate39.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate47.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Samford won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.